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Advanced Engineering Research
Article . 2023
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Determinants Factors in Predicting Life Expectancy Using Machine Learning

Authors: B. Kouame Amos; I. V. Smirnov;

Determinants Factors in Predicting Life Expectancy Using Machine Learning

Abstract

Introduction. Life expectancy is, by definition, the average number of years a person can expect to live from birth to death. It is therefore the best indicator for assessing the health of human beings, but also a comprehensive index for assessing the level of economic development, education and health systems . From our extensive research, we have found that most existing studies contain qualitative analyses of one or a few factors. There is a lack of quantitative analyses of multiple factors, which leads to a situation where the predominant factor influencing life expectancy cannot be identified with precision. However, with the existence of various conditions and complications witnessed in society today, several factors need to be taken into consideration to predict life expectancy. Therefore, various machine learning models have been developed to predict life expectancy. The aim of this article is to identify the factors that determine life expectancy. Materials and Methods. Our research uses the Pearson correlation coefficient to assess correlations between indicators, and we use multiple linear regression models, Ridge regression, and Lasso regression to measure the impact of each indicator on life expectancy . For model selection, the Akaike information criterion, the coefficient of variation and the mean square error were used. R2 and the mean square error were used. Results. Based on these criteria, multiple linear regression was selected for the development of the life expectancy prediction model, as this model obtained the smallest Akaike information criterion of 6109.07, an adjusted coefficient of 85 % and an RMSE of 3.85. Conclusion and Discussion. At the end of our study, we concluded that the variables that best explain life expectancy are adult mortality, infant mortality, percentage of expenditure, measles, under-five mortality, polio, total expenditure, diphtheria, HIV / AIDS, GDP, longevity of 1.19 years, resource composition, and schooling. The results of this analysis can be used by the World Health Organization and the health sectors to improve society.

Keywords

330, модели машинного обучения, машинное обучение, 300, machine learning, life expectancy, TA401-492, machine learning models, ожидаемая продолжительность жизни, Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold