
pmid: 40084419
handle: 10138/594351 , 11573/1740900 , 10023/32028
Research remains inconclusive on whether increased longevity is resulting in disability compression. Using the Health and Retirement Study and multistate models, this study is the first to examine trends (between 1996-2006 and 2008-18) across multiple key aspects of disability burden: namely, lifetime risk and age at onset of disability; recovery and mortality of the disabled; and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) at age 50 in the United States' older population. Furthermore, we differentiate these trends by key socio-demographic factors: sex, race/ethnicity, and educational attainment. The analysis shows that over four-fifths of the total life expectancy increase at age 50 was in DFLE. This was accompanied by a one-year postponement in disability onset and insignificant recovery from disability. However, lifetime risk of disability remained unchanged between periods. Disability trends improved more for women than men. Latinx and the lowest-educated adults experienced no improvement in disability onset. The lowest-educated Whites exhibited substantial health deterioration.
Epidemiology, HM, Race/ethnicity, Disability trends, Social policy, 3rd-NDAS, Education, H, H Social Sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, United States; compression of morbidity; disability trends; dynamic equilibrium; education; expansion of morbidity; gender; mortality trends; multistate models; race/ethnicity, NCAD, Compression of morbidity, Demography, Educational sciences, SDG 5 - Gender Equality, Multistate models, Dynamic equilibrium, Mortality trends, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Expansion of morbidity, HM Sociology, Gender, SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities, United States, SDG 4 - Quality Education
Epidemiology, HM, Race/ethnicity, Disability trends, Social policy, 3rd-NDAS, Education, H, H Social Sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, United States; compression of morbidity; disability trends; dynamic equilibrium; education; expansion of morbidity; gender; mortality trends; multistate models; race/ethnicity, NCAD, Compression of morbidity, Demography, Educational sciences, SDG 5 - Gender Equality, Multistate models, Dynamic equilibrium, Mortality trends, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Expansion of morbidity, HM Sociology, Gender, SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities, United States, SDG 4 - Quality Education
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