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Real Estate Economics
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Apollo
Article . 2025
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Enhancing real estate investment trust return forecasts using machine learning

Authors: Kahshin Leow; Thies Lindenthal;

Enhancing real estate investment trust return forecasts using machine learning

Abstract

AbstractWe extend the emerging literature on machine learning empirical asset pricing by analyzing a comprehensive set of return prediction factors for real estate investment trusts (REITs). We show that machine learning models are superior to traditional ordinary least squares models and find that REIT investors experience significant economic gains when using machine learning forecasts. In particular, we show that REITs are more predictable than stocks and that their higher predictability is stable over time and across industries.

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Keywords

3801 Applied Economics, 3502 Banking, Finance and Investment, Networking and Information Technology R&D (NITRD), 38 Economics, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence, 35 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services, 3504 Commercial Services

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid