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Journal of Innovative Science and Engineering
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Comparison of Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian Regularization Learning Algorithms for Daily Runoff Forecasting

Authors: Asli Bor; Merve Okan;

Comparison of Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian Regularization Learning Algorithms for Daily Runoff Forecasting

Abstract

In this study, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) with Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian Regularization algorithms machine learning methods are compared for modeling of the rainfall-runoff process. For this purpose, daily flows were forecast using 5844 discharge data monitored between 1999 and 2015 of D21A001 Kırkgöze gauging station on the Karasu River operated by DSI. 6 scenarios were developed during the studies. Our findings indicate that the estimated capability of the Bayesian Regularization algorithm were close to with Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for training and testing, respectively. This study shows that different network structures and data representing land features can improve prediction for longer lead times. We consider that the ANN model accurately depicted the Karasu flows, and that our study will serve as a guide for more research on flooding and water storage.

Keywords

rainfall-runoff process, Numerical Modelization in Civil Engineering, euphrates-tigris basin thanks, Discharge Forecasting;Rainfall-runoff process;Artificial Neural Network;Euphrates-Tigris Basin, discharge forecasting, TA1-2040, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), Water Resources Engineering, Su Kaynakları Mühendisliği, artificial neural network, İnşaat Mühendisliğinde Sayısal Modelleme

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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