
Abstract Introduction Three randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that first-line cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation decreases atrial tachycardia in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) compared with antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs). The aim of this study was to develop a cost-effectiveness model (CEM) for first-line cryoablation compared with first-line AADs for the treatment of PAF. The model used a Danish healthcare perspective. Methods Individual patient-level data from the Cryo-FIRST, STOP AF and EARLY-AF RCTs were used to parameterise the CEM. The model structure consisted of a hybrid decision tree (one-year time horizon) and a Markov model (40-year time horizon, with a three-month cycle length). Health-related quality of life was expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per year. Model outcomes were produced using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results First-line cryoablation is dominant, meaning it results in lower costs (-€2,663) and more QALYs (0.18) when compared to first-line AADs. First-line cryoablation also has a 99.96% probability of being cost-effective, at a cost-effectiveness threshold of €23,200 per QALY gained. Regardless of initial treatment, patients were expected to receive ∼ 1.2 ablation procedures over a lifetime horizon. Conclusion First-line cryoablation is both more effective and less costly (i.e. dominant), when compared with AADs for patients with symptomatic PAF in a Danish healthcare system.
Cryoablation, Male, Time Factors, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Denmark, Cryosurgery, Drug Costs, Decision Support Techniques, Atrial Fibrillation, Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system, Humans, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Aged, Research, Middle Aged, Atrial fibrillation, Markov Chains, Antiarrhythmic drugs, Treatment Outcome, Models, Economic, Pulmonary Veins, RC666-701, Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Anti-Arrhythmia Agents, Denmark [MeSH] ; Cost-Benefit Analysis [MeSH] ; Aged [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis [MeSH] ; Cost-effectiveness ; Atrial Fibrillation/therapy [MeSH] ; Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/economics [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy [MeSH] ; Decision Support Techniques [MeSH] ; Cryosurgery/economics [MeSH] ; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic [MeSH] ; Drug Costs [MeSH] ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/surgery [MeSH] ; Decision Trees [MeSH] ; Male [MeSH] ; Markov Chains [MeSH] ; Quality of Life [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/economics [MeSH] ; Cost Savings [MeSH] ; Female [MeSH] ; Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/therapeutic use [MeSH] ; Pulmonary Veins/physiopathology [MeSH] ; Humans [MeSH] ; Treatment Outcome [MeSH] ; Middle Aged [MeSH] ; Atrial fibrillation ; Models, Economic [MeSH] ; Pulmonary Veins/surgery [MeSH] ; Time Factors [MeSH] ; Cryoablation ; Atrial Fibrillation/physiopathology [MeSH] ; Cryosurgery/adverse effects [MeSH] ; Antiarrhythmic drugs ; Research
Cryoablation, Male, Time Factors, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Denmark, Cryosurgery, Drug Costs, Decision Support Techniques, Atrial Fibrillation, Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system, Humans, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Aged, Research, Middle Aged, Atrial fibrillation, Markov Chains, Antiarrhythmic drugs, Treatment Outcome, Models, Economic, Pulmonary Veins, RC666-701, Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Anti-Arrhythmia Agents, Denmark [MeSH] ; Cost-Benefit Analysis [MeSH] ; Aged [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis [MeSH] ; Cost-effectiveness ; Atrial Fibrillation/therapy [MeSH] ; Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/economics [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy [MeSH] ; Decision Support Techniques [MeSH] ; Cryosurgery/economics [MeSH] ; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic [MeSH] ; Drug Costs [MeSH] ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/surgery [MeSH] ; Decision Trees [MeSH] ; Male [MeSH] ; Markov Chains [MeSH] ; Quality of Life [MeSH] ; Atrial Fibrillation/economics [MeSH] ; Cost Savings [MeSH] ; Female [MeSH] ; Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/therapeutic use [MeSH] ; Pulmonary Veins/physiopathology [MeSH] ; Humans [MeSH] ; Treatment Outcome [MeSH] ; Middle Aged [MeSH] ; Atrial fibrillation ; Models, Economic [MeSH] ; Pulmonary Veins/surgery [MeSH] ; Time Factors [MeSH] ; Cryoablation ; Atrial Fibrillation/physiopathology [MeSH] ; Cryosurgery/adverse effects [MeSH] ; Antiarrhythmic drugs ; Research
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