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Geophysical Research Letters
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
Data sources: Crossref
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Geophysical Research Letters
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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QBO Phase Synchronization in CMIP6 Historical Simulations Attributed to Ozone Forcing

Authors: Neal Butchart; Martin B. Andrews; Chris D. Jones;

QBO Phase Synchronization in CMIP6 Historical Simulations Attributed to Ozone Forcing

Abstract

AbstractTropical stratospheric variability is investigated in ensembles of historical simulations performed by nine models for the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Realizations from all the models feature a reasonable quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO). Variability in the zonal mean zonal winds at the equator is found to be coherent among realizations when a model prescribes the CMIP6 ozone forcing. No such coherence is found when a model simulates ozone. The coherence results in an ensemble mean QBO signal with amplitude, depending on the model, 50%–80% of the mean QBO amplitude from a single realization from the same model. The ensemble mean signal is due to synchronization of QBO phases, attributed to the CMIP6 protocol including a QBO signal in the ozone forcing. Coherence in models using the CMIP6 ozone is, therefore, artificial and individual realizations from these models are not completely independent.

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Keywords

stratospheric ozone, quasi biennial oscillation (QBO), QC801-809, Geophysics. Cosmic physics, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), climate simulations

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold