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Economy of Region
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Economy of Region
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Региональные программы материнского капитала: влияние на рождаемость в России

Regional Maternity Capital Programmes: Impact on Fertility in Russia
Authors: E. S. Vakulenko; N. V. Ivashina; Y. O. Svistyilnik;

Региональные программы материнского капитала: влияние на рождаемость в России

Abstract

Despite an active demographic policy, the birth rate in Russia has been declining since 2015. Since 2007, federal maternity capital (FMC) programme has been implemented. In 2011, some Russian regions additionally introduced regional maternity capital (RMC). The paper aims to assess the impact of RMC on fertility in Russian regions. To this end, econometric models using panel data from the Federal State Statistics Service for 1996-2020 were utilised. A positive impact of regional maternity capital for a second child on fertility was revealed. The study demonstrated that this support measure is most effective in predominantly Orthodox regions, as well as in regions with a higher total fertility rate (more than 1.7). According to the analysis, it is necessary to raise RMC payments for a second child to the level of federal maternity capital, all other things being equal, in order to increase the average total fertility rate to 1.7. Fertility is negatively correlated with the average per capita income, housing costs, unemployment rate and preschool enrolment, as well as positively correlated with federal maternity capital and marriage rate. As a result, the state has to continue and improve maternity capital programmes for the purchase of housing for families with children, support them in the labour market, improve preschool infrastructure, and also to pursue a pro-natalist policy aimed at strengthening the family institution and preserving family values. Due to the specificity of data, an influence of regional maternity capital on changes in birth timing and purposes of the capital’s possible spending were not considered. Further research should focus on determining priority forms of providing regional maternity capital according to the intended use.

Keywords

рождаемость, суммарный коэффициент рождаемости, материнский капитал, программы регионального материнского капитала, демографическая политика, TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, ПРОГРАММЫ РЕГИОНАЛЬНОГО МАТЕРИНСКОГО КАПИТАЛА, ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКА, MATERNITY CAPITAL, REGIONAL MATERNITY CAPITAL PROGRAMMES, Regional economics. Space in economics, HT388, FERTILITY, СУММАРНЫЙ КОЭФФИЦИЕНТ РОЖДАЕМОСТИ, МАТЕРИНСКИЙ КАПИТАЛ, DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY, РОЖДАЕМОСТЬ

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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