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ABUAD Journal of Engineering Research and Development
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Prediction of Reservoir Flow Capacity in Sandstone Formations: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models

Authors: Micheal Ayodeji Ogundero; Taiwo Adelakin; Kehinde Orolu; Isaac Femi Johnson; Theophilus Akinfenwa Fashanu; Kingsley Abhulimen;

Prediction of Reservoir Flow Capacity in Sandstone Formations: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models

Abstract

Sand production is one of the major challenges in the oil and gas industry, impacting the operational integrity and economic efficiency of oil extraction activities. This study focuses on predicting Reservoir Flow Capacity (RFC) in sandstone formations by analyzing geological and petrophysical properties critical to reservoir performance and mechanical stability. It also identified key factors that impact the mechanical stability of formations during production. Given a large number of input variables that enclose geological and environmental factors, the study set the correlation of these conditions to provide profound analysis and reveal profound patterns within the data. With the following supervised machine learning algorithms: Random Forest, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR); the study modeled RFC. The algorithms were selected for their ability to model complex relationships in reservoir characterization, with Random Forest excelling in high-dimensional data handling, ANN in pattern learning, and SVR in regression-based predictions. Model evaluation using R-Squared metrics showed that the Random Forest model possesses a good level of accuracy of 0.9573 in predicting the RFC, compared to the ANN and SVR model which had R-Squared values of 0.9390 and 0.7294 respectively. The SVR model had large variations from the actual values and hence was not very useful for our predictions. Further analysis using the developed machine learning models revealed that geological formation thickness, reservoir thickness, and permeability are the most critical parameters influencing reservoir flow capacity and overall rock stability.

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Keywords

Reservoir Flow Capacity, Machine Learning, Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, TA1-2040, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), Sand Production

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold