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https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.i...
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
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Universal Social Pensions Are Unaffordable … Not! Testing the Unaffordability Hypothesis in Latin America and the Caribbean

Authors: Gibrán Cruz-Martínez; Gibrán Cruz-Martínez;

Universal Social Pensions Are Unaffordable … Not! Testing the Unaffordability Hypothesis in Latin America and the Caribbean

Abstract

Is universal social assistance unaffordable? Targeting social policy has been praised as a magic solution to select the ‘deserving poor’ and efficiently use the scarce resources in the Global South. The article tests the unaffordability hypothesis using five counterfactual analyses based on expenditure redirection (military expenditure, energy subsidies, and the potential illegal/odious external debt servicing) and increasing tax revenues (income and trade tax) in up to thirty-three countries. The article shows the revenue-generating potential of taxes and reprioritising expenditures from unproductive to productive areas to finance – totally or partly- basic universal social pensions in large part of Latin America and the Caribbean; therefore, dispelling the unaffordability myth.

Keywords

Targeting, Tercera edad, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|International and Area Studies|Latin American Studies, 6108.03 Senectud, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|International and Area Studies, 1209 Estadística, Social insurance, Social policy, Social protection, Pensions, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences, Social assistance, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|International and Area Studies, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences, Estadísticas e indicadores sociales, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|International and Area Studies|Latin American Studies, Welfare state

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid