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Multiclass Classification with Imbalanced Datasets for Car Ownership Demand Model – Cost-Sensitive Learning

التصنيف متعدد الفئات مع مجموعات بيانات غير متوازنة لنموذج الطلب على ملكية السيارات – التعلم الحساس للتكلفة
Authors: Patiphan Kaewwichian;

Multiclass Classification with Imbalanced Datasets for Car Ownership Demand Model – Cost-Sensitive Learning

Abstract

In terms of the travel demand prediction from the household car ownership model, if the imbalanced data were used to support the transportation policy via a machine learning model, it would negatively affect the algorithm training process. The data on household car ownership obtained from the study project for the expressway preparation in the Khon Kaen Province (2015) was an unbalanced dataset. In other words, the number of members of the minority class is lower than the rest of the answer classes. The result is a bias in data classification. Consequently, this research suggested balancing the datasets with cost-sensitive learning methods, including decision trees, k-nearest neighbors (kNN), and naive Bayes algorithms. Before creating the 3-class model, a k-folds cross-validation method was applied to classify the datasets to define true positive rate (TPR) for the model’s performance validation. The outcome indicated that the kNN algorithm demonstrated the best performance for the minority class data prediction compared to other algorithms. It provides TPR for rural and suburban area types, which are region types with very different imbalance ratios, before balancing the data of 46.9% and 46.4%. After balancing the data (MCN1), TPR values were 84.4% and 81.4%, respectively.

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Artificial intelligence, Class (philosophy), Support vector machine, Outcome (game theory), cross-validation, cost matrix, Automatic License Plate Recognition System, Engineering, Machine learning, Media Technology, FOS: Mathematics, Data mining, TA1001-1280, decision trees, Naive Bayes classifier, Mathematical economics, tour-based model, Traffic Flow Prediction and Forecasting, Building and Construction, Predictive Modeling, Computer science, Transportation engineering, k-nearest neighbors (kNN), k-nearest neighbors (knn), Computer Science, Physical Sciences, Data Mining in Various Applications, Short-Term Forecasting, Mathematics, Information Systems

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold