Abstract Objective To analyze changes in the muscular fat fraction (FF) during immobilization at the intensive care unit (ICU) using dual-energy CT (DECT) and evaluate the predictive value of the DECT FF as a new imaging biomarker for morbidity and survival. Methods Immobilized ICU patients (n = 81, 43.2% female, 60.3 ± 12.7 years) were included, who received two dual-source DECT scans (CT1, CT2) within a minimum interval of 10 days between 11/2019 and 09/2022. The DECT FF was quantified for the posterior paraspinal muscle by two radiologists using material decomposition. The skeletal muscle index (SMI), muscle radiodensity attenuation (MRA), subcutaneous-/ visceral adipose tissue area (SAT, VAT), and waist circumference (WC) were assessed. Reasons for ICU admission, clinical scoring systems, therapeutic regimes, and in-hospital mortality were noted. Linear mixed models, Cox regression, and intraclass correlation coefficients were employed. Results Between CT1 and CT2 (median 21 days), the DECT FF increased (from 20.9% ± 12.0 to 27.0% ± 12.0, p = 0.001). The SMI decreased (35.7 cm2/m2 ± 8.8 to 31.1 cm2/m2 ± 7.6, p < 0.001) as did the MRA (29 HU ± 10 to 26 HU ± 11, p = 0.009). WC, SAT, and VAT did not change. In-hospital mortality was 61.5%. In multivariable analyses, only the change in DECT FF was associated with in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 9.20 [1.78–47.71], p = 0.008), renal replacement therapy (HR 48.67 [9.18–258.09], p < 0.001), and tracheotomy at ICU (HR 37.22 [5.66–245.02], p < 0.001). Inter-observer reproducibility of DECT FF measurements was excellent (CT1: 0.98 [0.97; 0.99], CT2: 0.99 [0.96–0.99]). Conclusion The DECT FF appears to be suitable for detecting increasing myosteatosis. It seems to have predictive value as a new imaging biomarker for ICU patients. Clinical relevance statement The dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction appears to be a robust imaging biomarker to detect and monitor myosteatosis. It has potential for prognosticating, risk stratifying, and thereby guiding therapeutic nutritional regimes and physiotherapy in critically ill patients. Key Points The dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction detects increasing myosteatosis caused by immobilization. Change in dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction was a predictor of in-hospital morbidity and mortality. Dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction had a predictive value superior to established CT body composition parameters.