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Cybernetics and Information Technologies
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
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Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using Enhanced PSO with Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Authors: Srivastava Vibha; Dwivedi Vijay Kumar; Singh Ashutosh Kumar;

Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using Enhanced PSO with Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Abstract

Abstract Due to the highly volatile tendency of Bitcoin, there is a necessity for a better price prediction model. Only a few researchers have focused on the feasibility to apply various modelling approaches. These approaches may prone to have low convergence issues in outcomes and acquire high computation time. Hence a model is put forward based on machine learning techniques using regression algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization with XGBoost algorithm, for more precise prediction outcomes of three cryptocurrencies; Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum. The approach uses time series that consists of daily price information of cryptocurrencies. In this paper, the XGBoost algorithm is incorporated with an enhanced PSO method to tune the optimal hyper-parameters to yield out better prediction output rate. The comparative assessment delineated that the proposed method shows less root mean squared error, mean absolute error and mean squared error values. In this aspect, the proposed model stands predominant in showing high efficiency of prediction rate.

Keywords

xgboost, pso, Q300-390, regression algorithm, price prediction, Cybernetics, cryptocurrency

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold