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Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation in 2013 and Prognosis for the Year of 2014

Authors: N. V. Popov; V. E. Bezsmertny; V. P. Toporkov; A. N. Matrosov; T. V. Knyazeva; A. A. Kuznetsov; V. P. Popov; +9 Authors

Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation in 2013 and Prognosis for the Year of 2014

Abstract

Analyzed are the data of the epizootiologic survey of plague enzootic territories in Russia in 2013. Evaluated are the numbers of major carriers and vectors as well as the epizootic activity of natural foci of different types. Analysis of preconditions for decrease of epizootic potential of plague natural foci of Caucasus, Altai and Tyva is carried out. Single findings of infected fleas are registered at the sites of steady focality in the territory of Pre-Caspian lowland. Forecast of epizootic situation for 2014 is presented. Marked is raising probability that Volga-Ural sandy and Central Caucasian high-mountain plague foci would get out of the inter-epizootic period state. Substantiated are the possibility of plague epizootics continuation and their intensity in Pre-Caspian sandy, Altai and Tyva mountain, and Eastern-Caucasus high-mountain plague natural foci.

Keywords

epizootic activity, долгосрочный и краткосрочный эпизоотологические прогнозы, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216, изменение климата, short-term and long term epizootiological forecast, natural plague foci, природные очаги чумы, climate change, численность носителей и переносчиков чумы, эпизоотическая активность, number of carriers and vectores of plague

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    popularity
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    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
gold