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IEEE Access
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2025
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Cloud-Integrated Meteorological Parameter Prediction by Leveraging Multivariate Statistical Time Series and GANs

Authors: Archana Rout; Biswa Ranjan Senapati; Debahuti Mishra;

Cloud-Integrated Meteorological Parameter Prediction by Leveraging Multivariate Statistical Time Series and GANs

Abstract

Meteorological parameters are increasingly influenced by unsustainable development and environmental pollution, contributing to the rising frequency of natural calamities. Accurate prediction of these parameters is crucial for prevention. This study uses historical data to predict six key meteorological parameters, such as dew point, cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, and wind direction of Bengaluru and Delhi city of India. Using cloud-based services ensures scalability and computational efficiency for data storage, processing, and model deployment in weather parameters. To address data gaps, generative adversarial networks (GANs) are employed for data imputation within those parameters. Hence, the present work predicts six important meteorological parameters using the vector autoregression model (VAR), vector moving average model (VMA), vector autoregression moving average model (VARMA), and cointegrated vector autoregression model (CVAR). The comparative analysis demonstrates the superior performance of the CVAR model over other models, as measured by the normalized mean square error (nMSE) and normalized root mean square error (nRMSE) for a single parameter (2.12, 0.3) and (1.21, 0.24) for both the cities, in forecasting all the specified meteorological parameters.

Keywords

VARMA model, data imputation, multivariate time series forecasting models, VMA model, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, VAR model, CVAR model, TK1-9971

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold