
arXiv: 2204.02757
We propose a portfolio allocation method based on risk factor budgeting using convex Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF). Unlike classical factor analysis, PCA, or ICA, NMF ensures positive factor loadings to obtain interpretable long-only portfolios. As the NMF factors represent separate sources of risk, they have a quasi-diagonal correlation matrix, promoting diversified portfolio allocations. We evaluate our method in the context of volatility targeting on two long-only global portfolios of cryptocurrencies and traditional assets. Our method outperforms classical portfolio allocations regarding diversification and presents a better risk profile than hierarchical risk parity (HRP). We assess the robustness of our findings using Monte Carlo simulation.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Econometrics (econ.EM), Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics - Applications, FOS: Economics and business, Portfolio Management (q-fin.PM), Statistics - Machine Learning, Applications (stat.AP), Quantitative Finance - Portfolio Management, Economics - Econometrics
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Econometrics (econ.EM), Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics - Applications, FOS: Economics and business, Portfolio Management (q-fin.PM), Statistics - Machine Learning, Applications (stat.AP), Quantitative Finance - Portfolio Management, Economics - Econometrics
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