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Contemporary Mathematics
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2021
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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The Sigma-max System Induced from Randomness & Fuzziness and Its Application in Time Series Prediction

Authors: Wei Mei; Ming Li; Yuanzeng Cheng; Limin Liu;

The Sigma-max System Induced from Randomness & Fuzziness and Its Application in Time Series Prediction

Abstract

This paper attempts to induce probability theory (sigma system) and possibility theory (max system) respectively from the clearly-defined randomness and fuzziness, while focusing the question why the key axiom of “maxitivity” is adopted for possibility measure. Such an objective is achieved by following three steps: (a) the establishment of mathematical definitions of randomness and fuzziness; (b) the development of intuitive definition of possibility as measure of fuzziness based on compatibility interpretation; (c) the abstraction of the axiomatic definitions of probability/possibility from their intuitive definitions, by taking advantage of properties of the well-defined randomness and fuzziness. We derived the conclusion that “max” is the only but un-strict disjunctive operator that is applicable across the fuzzy event space, and is an exact operator for extracting the value from the fuzzy sample space that leads to the largest possibility of one. Then a demonstration example of stock price prediction is presented, which confirms that max inference indeed exhibits distinctive performance, with an improvement up to 18.99%, over sigma inference for the investigated application. Our work provides a physical foundation for the axiomatic definition of possibility for the measure of fuzziness, which hopefully would facilitate wider adoption of possibility theory in practice.

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Computer Science - Logic in Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI), Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence, Probability (math.PR), FOS: Mathematics, 03B48, 03B52, 60A05, 68T07, Mathematics - Probability, Logic in Computer Science (cs.LO)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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