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Use of an Investment Payback Period in Order to Analyze Project Effectiveness

Использование срока окупаемости инвестиций для анализа эффективности проекта
Authors: LOGINOVSKIY O.V.; GELRUD YA.D.;

Use of an Investment Payback Period in Order to Analyze Project Effectiveness

Abstract

Логиновский Олег Витальевич, д-р техн. наук, профессор, заведующий кафедрой информационно-аналитического обеспечения управления в социальных и экономических системах, Южно-Уральский государственный университет, г. Челябинск; loginovskiyo@mail.ru. Гельруд Яков Давидович, д-р техн. наук, профессор кафедры информационно-аналитического обеспечения управления в социальных и экономических системах, Южно-Уральский государственный университет, г. Челябинск; gelrud@mail.ru. O.V. Loginovskiy, loginovskiiov@susu.ru, Ya.D.Gelrud, gelrudid@susu.ru South Ural State University, Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation This article analyzes one of the key factors of project effectiveness; the investment payback period. For different conditions of project financing and the subsequent profit from its implementation, calculating formula are derived that facilitate the analysis of the effectiveness of the investment project. The main content of this work is the suggestion and explanation of the generalized factor of increasing profits, which, in our opinion, is the most objective criterion of project effectiveness. The method works well in situations when investments involve a high degree of risk, therefore, the shorter the payback period is the less risky the project is. This situation is typical for industries or activities that are characterized by a fairly high probability of rapid technological change. The suggested generalized index of the growth of an income can be recommended for the analysis of the effectiveness of an investment project in all cases. Анализируется один из важнейших показателей эффективности проекта – срок окупаемости инвестиций. Для разных условий финансирования проекта и последующего получения прибыли от его реализации выводятся расчетные формулы, облегчающие анализ эффективности инвестиционного проекта. Основное содержание данной работы – предложение и обоснование обобщенного показателя нарастания прибыли, который, на наш взгляд, является наиболее объективным критерием эффективности проекта. Метод хорошо работает в тех ситуациях, когда инвестиции связаны с высокой степенью риска, поэтому, чем короче срок окупаемости, тем менее рискованным является проект. Такая ситуация характерна для отраслей или видов деятельности, которые характеризуются достаточно высокой степенью вероятности быстрых технологических изменений. Предложенный обобщенный индекс роста дохода может быть рекомендован для анализа эффективности инвестиционного проекта во всех случаях.

Keywords

УДК 330.1, the investment payback period, критерии эффективности проекта, the criterion of project effectiveness, index of the growth of an income, INVESTMENT PAYBACK PERIOD,THE CRITERION OF PROJECT EFFECTIVENESS,INDEX OF THE GROWTH OF AN INCOME,СРОК ОКУПАЕМОСТИ ИНВЕСТИЦИЙ,КРИТЕРИИ ЭФФЕКТИВНОСТИ ПРОЕКТА,ИНДЕКС РОСТА ДОХОДА, срок окупаемости инвестиций, индекс роста дохода

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold