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Alexandria Engineering Journal
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Alexandria Engineering Journal
Article . 2025
Data sources: DOAJ
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A new probabilistic model with simulation studies: Model, theoretical insights, and its application to radar-based precipitation measurement

Authors: Xuejun Zhou; Abdulrahman Alomair; Abdulaziz S. Al Naim;

A new probabilistic model with simulation studies: Model, theoretical insights, and its application to radar-based precipitation measurement

Abstract

This study provides important insights into the contemporary literature on the evolution of new probability distributions. We utilize a proven trigonometric-oriented probabilistic method to develop a new probability distribution. The distribution we suggest signifies a possible alteration of the generalized Rayleigh distribution and is referred to as the cosine generalized Rayleigh (CG-Rayleigh) distribution. We obtain various mathematical characteristics related to the CG-Rayleigh distribution. Moreover, we provide the mathematical expressions for determining the parameters of the CG-Rayleigh distribution. We also perform simulation studies with different parameter settings to illustrate the performance of these estimators. Finally, we illustrate the practical use of the CG-Rayleigh distribution by applying it to a real-world data set from the hydrology sector, particularly focusing on precipitation data to emphasize its real-world significance. To evaluate the performance of the CG-Rayleigh distribution compared to other probability distributions, we investigate various competing distributions as possible alternatives for the precipitation data. By employing four well-defined evaluation criteria, we observe that the CG-Rayleigh distribution produces better outcomes compared to its rivals. As a result, our findings show that the CG-Rayleigh distribution is a significant addition to the class of probabilistic methods for modeling data related to the hydrological cycle.

Keywords

Generalized Rayleigh distribution, Mathematical properties, TA1-2040, Radar-based precipitation, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), Cosine function, Monte Carlo simulation, Hydrological circle

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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