
The objective of this research is to develop a dynamic model to forecast multi-interval path travel times between bus stops of origin and destination. The research also intends to test the proposed model using real-world data. This research was brought about by the shortcomings of the existing real-time based short-term-prediction models, which have been widely utilised for single interval predictions. The developed model is based on the Nearest Neighbour Non-Parametric Regression using historical and current data collected by the Automatic Vehicle Location technology. In a test with real-world bus data in Seoul, Korea, the proposed multi-interval-prediction model performed effectively in terms of both prediction accuracy and computing time.
O&D, Travel time, Travel behavior, ridership - forecasting, 330, mode - bus, Bus travel, Seoul (Korea), Intracity bus transportation, Bus transit, 004, infrastructure - stop, Scenarios, Stop (Public transportation), Bus usage, Origin and destination, Journey time, Bus stops, Projections, Forecasting
O&D, Travel time, Travel behavior, ridership - forecasting, 330, mode - bus, Bus travel, Seoul (Korea), Intracity bus transportation, Bus transit, 004, infrastructure - stop, Scenarios, Stop (Public transportation), Bus usage, Origin and destination, Journey time, Bus stops, Projections, Forecasting
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