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Dynamic multi-interval bus travel time prediction using bus transit data

Authors: Chang, Hyunho; Park, Dongjoo; Lee, Seungjae; Lee, Hosang; Baek, Seungkirl;

Dynamic multi-interval bus travel time prediction using bus transit data

Abstract

The objective of this research is to develop a dynamic model to forecast multi-interval path travel times between bus stops of origin and destination. The research also intends to test the proposed model using real-world data. This research was brought about by the shortcomings of the existing real-time based short-term-prediction models, which have been widely utilised for single interval predictions. The developed model is based on the Nearest Neighbour Non-Parametric Regression using historical and current data collected by the Automatic Vehicle Location technology. In a test with real-world bus data in Seoul, Korea, the proposed multi-interval-prediction model performed effectively in terms of both prediction accuracy and computing time.

Country
Australia
Related Organizations
Keywords

O&D, Travel time, Travel behavior, ridership - forecasting, 330, mode - bus, Bus travel, Seoul (Korea), Intracity bus transportation, Bus transit, 004, infrastructure - stop, Scenarios, Stop (Public transportation), Bus usage, Origin and destination, Journey time, Bus stops, Projections, Forecasting

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    Top 10%
    influence
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    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
98
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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