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Journal of Official Statistics
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
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Journal of Official Statistics
Article . 2025
License: CC BY NC
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2023
License: CC BY SA
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Bias Correction in Multiple Systems Estimation

Authors: Daan B. Zult; Peter G. M. van der Heijden; Bart F. M. Bakker;

Bias Correction in Multiple Systems Estimation

Abstract

If part of a population is hidden but two or more samples are available that each cover parts of this population, multiple systems estimation can be applied to estimate the size of this population. A problem is that these estimates suffer from finite-sample bias that can be substantial in case of a small sample or a small population size. This problem was recognized by Chapman, who derived his essentially unbiased Chapman-estimator for two samples. Because more than two samples may be required to correct for sample dependence, we propose a Generalized Chapman-estimator that can be applied with any number of samples. In a Monte Carlo experiment, this new estimator shows hardly any bias and has smaller standard errors than competing bias-reduced estimators. It is also compared to the usual maximum likelihood estimates for the case of estimating the number of homeless people in the Netherlands, where it shows notably different outcomes.

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Keywords

Log-linear model, FOS: Computer and information sciences, 330, multiple systems estimation, Statistics - Applications, Chapman estimator, Methodology (stat.ME), Finite sample bias, Applications (stat.AP), finite-sample bias, Multiple-systems estimation, log-linear model, Chapman-estimator, Statistics - Methodology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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gold