
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.5041933
handle: 10419/308346
We evaluate the labor market effects of an increasing supply of high-skilled labor, resulting from a higher education expansion at established German universities. Exploiting variation in exposure across regions and cohorts, we estimate early career effects for labor market entrants. We find that high-skilled wages decline initially, particularly in non-graduate jobs, but recover over the first five years of experience. Medium-skilled workers are barely affected, while low-skilled workers benefit from higher wage growth in non-routine-intensive jobs. We explain the dynamics of the effects by two countervailing mechanisms: immediate supply effects and gradual technology effects through increasing skilled labor demand.
I26, ddc:330, labor market entry, I23, higher education expansion, regional labor markets, wages, J31, R23
I26, ddc:330, labor market entry, I23, higher education expansion, regional labor markets, wages, J31, R23
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