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https://doi.org/10.1109/itsc.2...
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Copyright
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Towards a General Prediction System for the Primary Delay in Urban Railways

Authors: Jianqing Wu 0002; Luping Zhou; Chen Cai; Fang Dong 0001; Jun Shen 0001; Geng Sun 0002;

Towards a General Prediction System for the Primary Delay in Urban Railways

Abstract

Nowadays a large amount of data is collected from sensor devices across the cyber-physical networks. Accurate and reliable primary delay predictions are essential for rail operations management and planning. However, very few existing ‘big data’ methods meet the specific needs in railways. We propose a comprehensive and general data-driven Primary Delay Prediction System (PDPS) framework, which combines General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS), Critical Point Search (CPS), and deep learning models to leverage the data fusion. Based on this framework, we have also developed an open source data collection and processing tool that reduces the barrier to the use of the different open data sources. Finally, we demonstrate an advanced deep learning model, the novel ConvLSTM Encoder-Decoder model with CPS for better primary delay predictions.

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    9
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%