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Accuracy of a sequential algorithm based on FIB-4 and ELF to identify high-risk advanced liver fibrosis at the primary care level

Authors: Pablo Gabriel-Medina; Roser Ferrer-Costa; Andreea Ciudin; Salvador Augustin; Jesus Rivera-Esteban; J. M. Pericàs; D. M. Selva; +1 Authors

Accuracy of a sequential algorithm based on FIB-4 and ELF to identify high-risk advanced liver fibrosis at the primary care level

Abstract

AbstractNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, and liver fibrosis is the strongest predictor of morbimortality. We aimed to assess the performance of a sequential algorithm encompassing the Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) scores for identifying patients at risk of advanced fibrosis. This cross-sectional study included one hospital-based cohort with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 140) and two primary care cohorts from different clinical settings: Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) follow-up (n = 141) and chronic liver disease (CLD) initial study (n = 138). Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess liver fibrosis diagnosis models based on FIB-4 and ELF biomarkers. The sequential algorithm retrieved the following accuracy parameters in predicting stages F3–4 in the biopsy-confirmed cohort: sensitivity (85%), specificity (73%), negative predictive value (79%) and positive predictive value (81%). In both T2D and CLD cohorts, a total of 28% of patients were classified as stages F3–4. Furthermore, of all F3–4 classified patients in the T2D cohort, 80% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. Likewise, of all F3–4 classified patients in the CLD cohort, 71% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. These results suggest the potential utility of this algorithm as a liver fibrosis stratifying tool in primary care, where updating referral protocols to detect high-risk F3–4 is needed. FIB-4 and ELF sequential measurement is an efficient strategy to prioritize patients with high risk of F3–4 in populations with metabolic risk factors.

Keywords

Liver Cirrhosis, Male, Adult, Cirrosi hepàtica, PHENOMENA AND PROCESSES::Mathematical Concepts::Algorithms, Algorismes, Risk Assessment, CHEMICALS AND DRUGS::Biological Factors::Biomarkers, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease, ENFERMEDADES::enfermedades del sistema digestivo::enfermedades hepáticas::hígado graso::esteatosis hepática no alcohólica, ATENCIÓN DE SALUD::administración de los servicios de salud::gestión de la atención al paciente::atención integral de salud::atención primaria de la salud, Humans, COMPUESTOS QUÍMICOS Y DROGAS::factores biológicos::biomarcadores, HEALTH CARE::Health Services Administration::Patient Care Management::Comprehensive Health Care::Primary Health Care, Aged, Esteatosi hepàtica, Primary Health Care, DISEASES::Digestive System Diseases::Liver Diseases::Fatty Liver::Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease, Middle Aged, ENFERMEDADES::enfermedades del sistema digestivo::enfermedades hepáticas::cirrosis hepática, Im - Original, Cross-Sectional Studies, Atenció primària, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Marcadors bioquímics, FENÓMENOS Y PROCESOS::conceptos matemáticos::algoritmos, DISEASES::Digestive System Diseases::Liver Diseases::Liver Cirrhosis, Female, Algorithms, Biomarkers

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
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