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Journal of Neuro-Oncology
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Radboud Repository
Article . 2025
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Survival prediction in glioblastoma: 10-year follow-up from the Dutch Neurosurgery Quality Registry

10-year follow-up from the Dutch Neurosurgery Quality Registry
Authors: Dijck, J.T.J.M. van; Ardon, H.; Balvers, R.K.; Bos, E.M.; Bosscher, L.; Brouwers, H.B.; Ho, V.K.; +12 Authors

Survival prediction in glioblastoma: 10-year follow-up from the Dutch Neurosurgery Quality Registry

Abstract

Abstract Purpose Glioblastoma is the most common and treatment-resistant primary malignant brain tumor, with high morbidity and mortality despite standard treatment protocols. This study aims to evaluate survival and prognostic factors, and introduce two pragmatic prognostic models to inform individualized, patient-centered decision-making, using a large Dutch registry. Methods We analyzed a prospective cohort of 7621 patients (2012–2022) in 12 Dutch centers via the Dutch Quality Registry Neurosurgery. Univariate analysis of prognostic factors, Kaplan–Meier survival curves, and funnel plots comparing center performance (30-day and 2-year mortality) were conducted. Two prognostic models using multivariate Cox regression were developed. Results Glioblastoma incidence was 3.9/100.000 in The Netherlands. Overall, 30-day mortality was 5.1% and 2-year survival 17.8%. Overall median survival was 10.4 months, with 4.6 months after biopsy and 12.9 months post-resection. Poorer survival correlated with older age, higher ASA classification, lower Karnofsky Performance Status, biopsy over resection (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.47–0.52), and postoperative complications (HR 1.57 95% CI 1.39–1.79). MGMT promotor methylation (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.53–0.63) and adjuvant treatment were linked to lower mortality. Treatment variation and outcomes were within expected ranges; surgical volume did not affect survival. The prognostic models had C-indices of 0.704 (6-month) and 0.721 (2-year). Conclusion Surgical resection and adjuvant therapy improved survival, but prognosis remained poor. Age, premorbid condition, treatment and molecular markers influenced survival. Center variations were within expected range, and higher surgical volume did not improve outcomes. The developed prognostic models could potentially inform clinicians, pending external validation.

Keywords

Neurosurgery - Radboud University Medical Center, RESECTION, Survival, Case Study, CENTRAL-NERVOUS-SYSTEM, ASSOCIATION, ADJUVANT TEMOZOLOMIDE, GRADE GLIOMA, TUMORS, Patient outcome, CLASSIFICATION, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, CONCOMITANT, Glioblastoma, Prognostic model, RADIOTHERAPY

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid