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https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.i...
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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Psychological Research
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer Nature TDM
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Uncertainty salience reduces the accessibility of episodic future thoughts

Authors: Terpini, Marianthi; D'Argembeau, Arnaud;

Uncertainty salience reduces the accessibility of episodic future thoughts

Abstract

We live in uncertain times and how this pervasive sense of uncertainty affects our ability to think about the future remains largely unexplored. This study aims to investigate the effects of uncertainty salience on episodic future thinking—the ability to mentally represent specific future events. Experiment 1 assessed the impact of uncertainty on the accessibility of episodic future thoughts using an event fluency task. Participants were randomly assigned to either an uncertainty induction or control condition, and then were asked to imagine as many future events as possible that could happen in different time periods. The results showed that participants in the uncertainty condition produced fewer events, suggesting that uncertainty salience reduced the accessibility of episodic future thoughts. Experiment 2 investigated in further detail the mechanisms of production of episodic future thoughts that are affected by uncertainty. The results showed that uncertainty primarily reduced the accessibility of previously formed future thoughts (i.e., memories of the future) rather than affecting the ability to generatively think about the future and construct events. These findings shed new light on the impact of uncertainty on episodic future thinking, paving the way to further investigation into its implications for decision-making and future-oriented behavior.

Keywords

Male, Adult, Sciences sociales & comportementales, psychologie, Imagination/physiology, Memory, Episodic, Experimental and Cognitive Psychology, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Thinking, Young Adult, Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous), Developmental and Educational Psychology, Humans, Psychologie cognitive & théorique, Episodic future thinking, Retrieval processes, Cognitive Psychology, Uncertainty, Social & behavioral sciences, psychology, Imagination, Thinking/physiology, Female, Autobiographical memory, Theoretical & cognitive psychology

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    popularity
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    Top 10%
    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid