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European Journal of Operational Research
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Optimizing the Finnish colorectal cancer population screening program with decision programming

Authors: Lauri Neuvonen; Mary Dillon; Eeva Vilkkumaa; Ahti Salo; Maija Jäntti; Sirpa Heinävaara;

Optimizing the Finnish colorectal cancer population screening program with decision programming

Abstract

In Finland, colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rates have steadily increased over the last decades and as of 2020, CRC is the second most common cancer in both males and females. CRC is a crucial concern for the public health of Finland, highlighted by the recent implementation of a national population screening program. In this paper, we optimize the screening test positivity cut-off levels and the use of potential incentives for stratified populations to minimize cancer prevalence. The optimization results, computed with the novel Decision Programming approach for discrete multi-stage decision problems under uncertainty, show the optimal cut-off levels and uses of incentives for Finnish target groups subject to different constraints on colonoscopy capacity. The outcomes of these optimal strategies are estimated to determine the expected corresponding prevalences of CRC and required colonoscopies, and expected third-party costs. Finally, measures describing different equality perspectives are presented.

Publisher Copyright: © 2025 The Authors

Peer reviewed

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Keywords

Optimization, OR in health services, Influence diagrams, Decision programming, Colorectal cancer screening

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid
Related to Research communities
Cancer Research