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A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy

Authors: René Aïd; Matteo Basei; Giorgio Ferrari;

A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy

Abstract

We study firms size distribution in a mean-field model of Cournot competition in a commodity market, where price follows an inverse power demand function. Firms face irreversible investment decisions and constant depreciation of production capacity. Output is affected by Gaussian productivity shocks, whose volatility and the price function can shift due to rare macroeconomic events modeled by a two-state Markov chain. Firms aim to maximize expected discounted profits, net of investment and operating costs, based on the long-run stationary price. We establish existence and uniqueness of a stationary mean-field equilibrium and characterize it through a barrier-type investment strategy with endogenous thresholds for each economic regime. A quasi-closed form for the stationary distribution of firms’ states is provided. The model generates Pareto-distributed firm sizes, consistent with empirical industry data. It also shows that downturns raise market concentration and that firm performance depends on depreciation rates and the persistence of economic fluctuations.

Keywords

330, ddc:330, L11, L22, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), mean-field stationary equilibrium, FOS: Economics and business, C61, market concentration, value of economic stability, C62, C73, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, Optimization and Control (math.OC), FOS: Mathematics, D25, irreversible investment, D41, regime-switching, Mathematics - Optimization and Control, E32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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