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Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/jg...
Other literature type . 2024
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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/kc...
Other literature type . 2024
Data sources: Datacite
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Improved monthly streamflow prediction using integrated multivariate adaptive regression spline with K-means clustering: implementation of reanalyzed remote sensing data

تحسين التنبؤ بتدفق التدفق الشهري باستخدام شريحة الانحدار التكيفي المتكاملة متعددة المتغيرات مع تجميع وسائل K: تنفيذ بيانات الاستشعار عن بعد المعاد تحليلها
Authors: Özgür Kişi; Salim Heddam; Kulwinder Singh Parmar; Zaher Mundher Yaseen‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬; Christoph Külls;

Improved monthly streamflow prediction using integrated multivariate adaptive regression spline with K-means clustering: implementation of reanalyzed remote sensing data

Abstract

AbstractThis study investigates monthly streamflow modeling at Kale and Durucasu stations in the Black Sea Region of Turkey using remote sensing data. The analysis incorporates key meteorological variables, including air temperature, relative humidity, soil wetness, wind speed, and precipitation. The study also investigates the accuracy of multivariate adaptive regression (MARS) with Kmeans clustering (MARS-Kmeans) by comparing it with single MARS, M5 model tree (M5Tree), random forest regression (RF), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP). In the first modeling stage, principal component regression is applied to diverse input combinations, both with and without lagged streamflow (Q), resulting in twenty-three and twenty input combinations, respectively. Results demonstrate the critical role of including lagged Q for improved model accuracy, as models without lagged Q exhibit significant performance degradation. The second stage involves a comparative analysis of the MARS-Kmeans model with other machine-learning models, utilizing the best-input combination. MARS-Kmeans, incorporating three clusters, consistently outperforms other models, showcasing superior accuracy in predicting monthly streamflow.

Keywords

Cartography, Artificial intelligence, Environmental Engineering, Rainfall-Runoff Modeling, Drainage basin, Electricity Price and Load Forecasting Methods, Social Sciences, Structural engineering, Multivariable Grey Model, Streamflow, Multivariate adaptive regression splines, Management Science and Operations Research, Decision Sciences, Engineering, Cluster analysis, Spline (mechanical), Hydrological Modeling using Machine Learning Methods, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, FOS: Mathematics, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Data mining, Computational intelligence, Application of Grey System Theory in Forecasting, Geography, Statistics, FOS: Environmental engineering, Groundwater Level Forecasting, Computer science, Multivariate statistics, Regression, Monthly streamflow prediction ; Machine learning ; Original Paper ; Principal component regression ; Remote sensing data ; MARS-Kmeans, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Polynomial regression, Mathematics, Forecasting Model Optimization, Forecasting

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
hybrid