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International Journal of Data and Network Science
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Python script fuzzy time series Markov chain model for forecasting the number of diseases cocoa plant in Bendungan district

Authors: Ajeng Berliana Salsabila; Firdaniza Firdaniza; Budi Nurani Ruchjana; Atje Setiawan Abdullah;

Python script fuzzy time series Markov chain model for forecasting the number of diseases cocoa plant in Bendungan district

Abstract

Cocoa is a plantation commodity whose role is essential for the economy, so it is necessary to be aware of its health to maximize production. Cocoa plant disease data is a time series data because it is observed continuously. One of the time series forecasting models is the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain (FTS-MC), a combination of the Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Markov Chain models. The model uses the principle of fuzzy logic by transferring FTS data to fuzzy logic and using the obtained fuzzy logic groups to derive the Markov chain transition matrix. In this research, a Python script of the FTS-MC model was built in the Google Colaboratory to forecast the number of cocoa plant diseases in Bendungan District to simplify and speed up the data processing. Python was used in this research because of its easy-to-use, flexible, and open-source syntax. In building Python scripts, libraries and functions are needed by utilizing loop processes and if-else statements. Based on the processing results, forecasting with the FTS-MC model using Python only takes less than 1 minute.

Keywords

H, Management. Industrial management, Social Sciences, HD28-70

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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