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European Heart Journal
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
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European Heart Journal
Article . 2024
License: CC BY NC
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Bleeding risk prediction after acute myocardial infarction-integrating cancer data: the updated PRECISE-DAPT cancer score

the updated PRECISE-DAPT cancer score
Authors: Mohamed Dafaalla; Francesco Costa; Evangelos Kontopantelis; Mario Araya; Tim Kinnaird; Antonio Micari; Haibo Jia; +2 Authors

Bleeding risk prediction after acute myocardial infarction-integrating cancer data: the updated PRECISE-DAPT cancer score

Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims This study assessed the impact of incorporating cancer as a predictor on performance of the PRECISE-DAPT score. Methods A nationally linked cohort of ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients between 1 January 2005 and 31 March 2019 was derived from the UK Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project and the UK Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care registries. The primary outcome was major bleeding at 1 year. A new modified score was generated by adding cancer as a binary variable to the PRECISE-DAPT score using a Cox regression model and compared its performance to the original PRECISE-DAPT score. Results A total of 216 709 ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients were included, of which 4569 had cancer. The original score showed moderate accuracy (C-statistic .60), and the modified score showed modestly higher discrimination (C-statistics .64; hazard ratio 1.03, 95% confidence interval 1.03–1.04) even in patients without cancer (C-statistics .63; hazard ratio 1.03, 95% confidence interval 1.03–1.04). The net reclassification index was .07. The bleeding rates of the modified score risk categories (high, moderate, low, and very low bleeding risk) were 6.3%, 3.8%, 2.9%, and 2.2%, respectively. According to the original score, 65.5% of cancer patients were classified as high bleeding risk (HBR) and 21.6% were low or very low bleeding risk. According to the modified score, 94.0% of cancer patients were HBR, 6.0% were moderate bleeding risk, and no cancer patient was classified as low or very low bleeding risk. Conclusions Adding cancer to the PRECISE-DAPT score identifies the majority of patients with cancer as HBR and can improve its discrimination ability without undermining its performance in patients without cancer.

Keywords

Male, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use, United Kingdom/epidemiology, Hemorrhage, Middle Aged, Hemorrhage/epidemiology, Risk Assessment, United Kingdom, Percutaneous Coronary Intervention, Bleeding; Cancer; Outcomes; PRECISE-DAPT, Clinical Research, Risk Factors, Neoplasms, Humans, ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction, Neoplasms/complications, Female, ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology, Registries, Risk Assessment/methods, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors, Aged

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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