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A NEURAL NETWORK MODEL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

Authors: Maryna Petchenko; Oleksandr Yakushev; Oksana Yakusheva; Alina Bilichenko;

A NEURAL NETWORK MODEL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

Abstract

Abstract. The paper deals with the research of the process of economic growth as a component of the economic development of countries and aims at developing a neural network model directed at improving the modeling of economic growth, its stabilization or recovery after the impact of globalization integration processes, crisis phenomena. During the analysis, the authors found out that the indicators used to create a model of economic growth by the countries of the world do not have a close correlation and reflect different conditions of their functioning. It is determined that in order to achieve the set goal, it is advisable to apply neural networks, which provide a possibility to build a forecast system of economic growth with greater accuracy. In the process of the analysis, the data of 77 countries of the world according to the indicator of economic growth were used, the level of economic growth of the countries was assessed, the most accurate neural network model and the optimal network architecture were determined. The authors of the paper solve the problem of approximation of experimental data using multilayer perceptron-type models and network models with radial basis functions. The dependent variable in the model is denoted by the level of economic growth, and the independent variables are the level of gross accumulation, the level of gross savings, the level of export of goods and services, the level of import of goods and services, the level of current health care expenses. The volumes of training, test and control samples, the developed neural network models and the obtained results of economic growth modeling are presented graphically in the paper. The neural network model developed by the authors is sufficiently adequate, which is confirmed by the volume of processed data and obtained results. The neural network model of economic growth is suitable for further use in the process of its forecasting in various countries of the world.

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Keywords

економічний розвиток, моделі економічного зростання, modeling of economic growth, моделювання економічного зростання, економічне зростання, neural networks, нейронні мережі, economic growth, economic development, economic growth models

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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gold