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Revista Brasileira de Ciências Ambientais
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
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Assessment of employing different cloud cover data sources to model the Brazilian solar energy potentiality

Authors: Emerson D. Oliveira; Thomás Rocha Ferreira; Carlos Denyson da Silva Azevedo; Mario de Miranda Vilas Boas Ramos Leitão; Maria Luciene Melo;

Assessment of employing different cloud cover data sources to model the Brazilian solar energy potentiality

Abstract

A simplified atmospheric transmittance model based on the Beer-Lambert law was utilized to analyze surface solar radiation (SSR) variability based on different sources of cloud cover datasets (CMIP6, ERA5, NCEP, ISCCP, and EUMETSAT). This study evaluated the performance of various modeled SSR datasets against observed data from the Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data (BR-DWGD) over the period from 1983 to 2009. Contour plots of annual average SSR from the five modeled datasets were compared with BR-DWGD observations, revealing spatial agreements and discrepancies. The highest SSR values were consistently observed in the Brazilian semi-arid Northeast, while the Amazon region exhibited the lowest values. In the analysis of annual averages, the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) demonstrated the closest agreement with BR-DWGD, while the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) showed the most significant deviations. Root mean square error (RMSE) analysis highlighted seasonal variability in model performance, with the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) performing best during equinoxes, and ISCCP showing the lowest annual RMSE (16.9 Wm⁻²). Hierarchical clustering further grouped EUMETSAT and CMIP6 as the most similar and accurate datasets, while NCEP remained the least consistent. Global horizontal irradiance maps corroborated SSR patterns, with higher values in the Northeast and lower values in the Amazon and Southern regions. These findings underscored the importance of dataset selection for accurate SSR modeling in Brazil, with ISCCP, EUMETSAT, and CMIP6 emerging as the most reliable options.

Keywords

Environmental sciences, cloud cover; solar radiation; reanalysis data; satellite data; cmip6 models., GE1-350

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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