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Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Development of a procedure for expert estimation of capabilities in defense planning under multicriterial conditions

Authors: Nesterenko, Oleksandr; Netesin, Igor; Polischuk, Valery; Trofymchuk, Oleksandr;

Development of a procedure for expert estimation of capabilities in defense planning under multicriterial conditions

Abstract

Improving the decision-making efficiency in defense planning based on the capabilities of military forces and means for performing purposeful tasks requires new methodological approaches and their implementation in the form of software information-analytical tools. Given the complex information environment of defense planning, it is appropriate for the variants of capabilities development options to be chosen by experts on the methodological basis of multicriterial analysis. The research result is the development of a procedure, in which it is proposed to generate criteria and evaluate alternative options by integrating ontology, the Analytical Hierarchy Process, and the method of directed graphs. The ontological representation of the data ensures the construction of the hierarchical taxonomy of a domain and the formation of the criteria vector. The Analytical Hierarchy Process is used to conduct an expert evaluation of capabilities by their pairwise comparison against determined criteria. Experts’ judgments are visualized and controlled using directed graphs. Application of the procedure will make it possible to ensure efficiency, versatility, and simplicity of technical implementation of a procedure of decision making support. The procedure was tested on the example of choosing a capability to conduct reconnaissance for the benefit of ground artillery. It was shown that the evaluation process in the expert activity is considerably simplified due to the graph visualization. The proposed procedure introduces an innovative tool to achieve strategic goals and accomplish the basic tasks of the defense reform, which is relevant for many countries. The versatility of the procedure creates the basis for its application not only in defense but also in other force departments

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Keywords

information technologies; multicriterial analysis; ontology; analytical hierarchy process; directed graphs; capabilities; defense planning, UDC 004.5:004.6:004.89:007.51, информационные технологии; многокритериальный анализ; онтологии; метод анализа иерархий; ориентированные графы; способности; оборонное планирование, інформаційні технології; багатокритеріальний аналіз; онтології; метод аналізу ієрархій; орієнтовані графи; спроможності; оборонне планування

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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