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Zhongguo dianli
Article . 2020
Data sources: DOAJ
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A Short-Term Load Forecasting Method Based on Load Curve Clustering and Elastic Net Analysis

Authors: Bingjie JIN; Yong LIN; Shuxin LUO; Bin WEI; Shucan ZHOU;

A Short-Term Load Forecasting Method Based on Load Curve Clustering and Elastic Net Analysis

Abstract

A short-term load forecasting method based on load characteristics clustering and elastic net analysis is proposed in this paper. By analyzing and clustering the historical load characteristics, the annual days are classified and its clusters are specified, and the lack of pertinence of the types of the day cluster selection is avoided. At the same time, Elastic net analysis is adopted to identify and select the dominant factors for short-term load forecasting. Furthermore, the neural network forecasting model is established on the basis of input variable optimization. Taking the actual load of a city in Guangdong province as an example, the effectiveness of the proposed method in improving the daily load curve forecasting accuracy is verified by comparing with other methods. Results show that the model established is long-term effective, dispensing with repeated training, which is applicable for short-term load forecasting.

Keywords

QC501-721, TK1001-1841, Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations, Electricity, neural network, load forecasting, load characteristics, elastic net, clustering

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold