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Revista de Economia Mackenzie
Article . 2007
Data sources: DOAJ
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Algumas Considerações Sobre o Mercado de Taxa de Juros Brasileiro

Authors: Rodrigo Cabral;

Algumas Considerações Sobre o Mercado de Taxa de Juros Brasileiro

Abstract

The existence and magnitude of risk premiums in the Brazilian term structure is not clear, particularly because it’s a market in the process of development. Some year ago the Brazilian Central Bank created a system to measure market expectations for economic indicators, including the interest rates, and then give inputs to the inflation target regime. Nevertheless, if the system really represents “actual” expectations is a question to be answered. These are some of the motivations for this paper, together with the relation between the futures market and collected expectations, the risk premium for public debt securities and the relevance of these topics to public debt management. The main contributions are the measurement of the term structure of the risk premium in the Brazilian market, using the Kalman filter, and an estimation of market expectations. Furthermore, we investigate the expectations collected by the Central Bank and cover other minor topics, such as the determinants of the risk premium and the “government” premium.

Keywords

risk premium, Economics as a science, Economic history and conditions, public debt, kalman filter, interest rate term structure, HC10-1085, HB71-74, expectations

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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