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Prediction of stock price index using gray model

Authors: Rostam Ranjbar Navi; Ali Arshadi; Hassan Chenari;

Prediction of stock price index using gray model

Abstract

Stock market prediction is considered as a challenging task in the area of forecasting of financial time series. The main reason for this is the lack of certainty about how the stock market moves. Stock price data analysis is difficult due to the nonlinearity and the high noise level. The purpose of this paper is to forecast the capital market using the improved gray prediction pattern in Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, the total stock price index (TEPIX) was used. The obtained results indicated that the improved gray algorithm fitted with minimizing the prediction error is an appropriate algorithm for predicting the fluctuation of the total stock price index. Stock market prediction is considered as a challenging task in the area of forecasting of financial time series. The main reason for this is the lack of certainty about how the stock market moves. Stock price data analysis is difficult due to the nonlinearity and the high noise level. The purpose of this paper is to forecast the capital market using the improved gray prediction pattern in Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, the total stock price index (TEPIX) was used. The obtained results indicated that the improved gray algorithm fitted with minimizing the prediction error is an appropriate algorithm for predicting the fluctuation of the total stock price index.

Keywords

Regional economics. Space in economics, gray algorithm, HT388, HG1-9999, total stock price index, time series, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold