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Estimación de la tasa de desempleo no aceleradora de la inflación en México

Authors: Rogelio Varela Llamas; Víctor Hugo Torres Preciado;

Estimación de la tasa de desempleo no aceleradora de la inflación en México

Abstract

El objetivo de esta investigación es estimar la tasa de desempelo no aceleradora de la inflación (nairu, por sus siglas en inglés) para la economía mexicana. Se aplican diferentes metodologías a un conjunto de datos disponibles con frecuencia mensual para el periodo 1985-2005, entre éstas se encuentra la planteada por Staiger, Stock y Watson (1997) para obtener una nairu constante, la propuesta por Ball y Mankiw (2002) y la estimación de un modelo de vectores autorregresivos estructural (svar) para calcular una nairu variable en el tiempo. Los resultados son consistentes entre sí, y apuntan a una nairu constante alrededor de 4%, mientras que las estimaciones para la nairu variable fluctúan entre 2-13%.

Keywords

HB1-3840, México, Economic history and conditions, Economía y Finanzas, Nairu, Economic theory. Demography, HC10-1085, inflación, tasa de desempleo

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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