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Análisis Económico
Article . 2005
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No linealidad en los mercados accionarios latinoamericanos

Authors: Arturo Lorenzo Valdés;

No linealidad en los mercados accionarios latinoamericanos

Abstract

Se evalúa la dinámica no lineal en los precios de los índices accionarios de Argentina, Brasil, Chile Colombia, México y Perú. Se utiliza un modelo de cambio de régimen (SETAR) con tres regímenes. La idea de estos tres regímenes es que existen inversionistas no informados que provocan una dinámica diferente para rendimientos grandes (positivos y negativos) y rendimientos pequeños (cercanos al equilibrio). Se encuentra que los modelos no lineales son estadísticamente más adecuados y presentan medidas de desempeño de ajuste y predicción mejores para los casos analizados.

Keywords

HB1-3840, Economic history and conditions, Economía y Finanzas, Economic theory. Demography, HC10-1085, modelos SETAR, rendimientos de activos, dinámico no lineal

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold