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Proyección de la tasa de desempleo a través de un modelo estocástico

Authors: Von Gersdorff, Hermann;

Proyección de la tasa de desempleo a través de un modelo estocástico

Abstract

El trabajo examina la posibilidad de aplicar técnicas de series de tiempo, como el análisis espectral y las autocorrelogramas, para identificar un modelo satisfactorio de la tasa de desempleo en una economía como la chilena que sólo tiene series estacionarias relativamente cortas. El resultado es que es posible obtener un modelo que haga buenas predicciones y que no es conveniente ampliar la base de datos a costa de incluir datos que correspondan a otro proceso estocástico.

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Chile
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold