publication . Article . Other literature type . 2009

Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings.

Fraser, C.; Donnelly, C. A.; Cauchemez, S.; Hanage, W. P.; Van Kerkhove, M. D.; Hollingsworth, T. D.; Griffin, J.; Baggaley, R. F.; Jenkins, H. E.; Lyons, E. J.; ...
  • Published: 11 May 2009
  • Country: United Kingdom
Abstract
<p>A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health responses. By analyzing the outbreak in Mexico, early data on international spread, and viral genetic diversity, we make an early assessment of transmissibility and severity. Our estimates suggest that 23,000 (range 6000 to 32,000) individuals had been infected in Mexico by late April, giving an estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) of 0.4% (range: 0.3 to 1.8%) based on confirmed and suspected deaths reported to that time. In a community outbreak in the small community of La ...
Subjects
free text keywords: STRATEGIES, TRANSMISSIBILITY, MORTALITY, IMPACT, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1000, General, Article
Related Organizations
Funded by
EC| FLUMODCONT
Project
FLUMODCONT
Modelling the spread of pandemic influenza and strategies for its containment and mitigation.
  • Funder: European Commission (EC)
  • Project Code: 201601
  • Funding stream: FP7 | SP1 | HEALTH
Abstract
<p>A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health responses. By analyzing the outbreak in Mexico, early data on international spread, and viral genetic diversity, we make an early assessment of transmissibility and severity. Our estimates suggest that 23,000 (range 6000 to 32,000) individuals had been infected in Mexico by late April, giving an estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) of 0.4% (range: 0.3 to 1.8%) based on confirmed and suspected deaths reported to that time. In a community outbreak in the small community of La ...
Subjects
free text keywords: STRATEGIES, TRANSMISSIBILITY, MORTALITY, IMPACT, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1000, General, Article
Related Organizations
Funded by
EC| FLUMODCONT
Project
FLUMODCONT
Modelling the spread of pandemic influenza and strategies for its containment and mitigation.
  • Funder: European Commission (EC)
  • Project Code: 201601
  • Funding stream: FP7 | SP1 | HEALTH
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publication . Article . Other literature type . 2009

Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings.

Fraser, C.; Donnelly, C. A.; Cauchemez, S.; Hanage, W. P.; Van Kerkhove, M. D.; Hollingsworth, T. D.; Griffin, J.; Baggaley, R. F.; Jenkins, H. E.; Lyons, E. J.; ...