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Multicriteria Estimated Cost of Equity Capital

Authors: Juan Carlos Gutiérrez Betancur;

Multicriteria Estimated Cost of Equity Capital

Abstract

La estimación del costo del capital propio es un elemento clave en el proceso de presupuestación de capital. Analistas y gerentes financieros utilizan el CAPM para estimar el costo del patrimonio, el cual requiere tanto la medición de la prima de riesgo del mercado como la estimación de beta. En el caso de compañías públicamente cotizadas y bursátiles, el cálculo del costo del patrimonio se basa totalmente en la información disponible en los mercados financieros. Las firmas no transadas en bolsa no cuentan con suficiente información de mercado que permita construir un comparable exactamente válido. Este artículo propone un modelo multicriterio para determinar el costo del capital propio de compañías no transadas en bolsa. El Proceso Analítico de Jerarquías desarrollado por Thomas Saaty soporta la metodología propuesta para derivar prioridades relativas de factores de riesgo corporativos tangibles e intangibles. El modelo requiere que los administradores financieros y de empresas identifiquen las fuentes de información relevante para los datos de entrada requeridos. El mecanismo de verificación de inconsistencias incluido en el modelo AHP permite a los gerentes identificar las posibles inconsistencias, revisar las percepciones y juicios previos en orden a lograr una síntesis correcta.

The estimation of the cost of equity capital is a key input to the capital budgeting process when the firm uses internal financing. Financial analyst and managers usually utilize the CAPM to estimate the cost of equity which requires both measurement of the market risk premium and estimation of beta. For publicly traded firms, calculating the cost of equity is entirely based on information from the financial markets. Non traded firms and small businesses do not have sufficient market based information. This article proposes a multicriteria model to determine the cost of equity for non traded firms. The Analytic Hierarchy Process developed by Thomas Saaty is the proposed methodology for deriving relative priorities of tangible and intangible corporate risk factors. The model requires business managers to identify the relevant information sources for the required input data. The inconsistencies checking mechanism within the AHP model allows management to identify inconsistencies, to revise prior judgments and to synthesize coherently.

Country
Colombia
Related Organizations
Keywords

Market Risk Premium, Business Risk, Impulsos Neuronales, Cost of Equity, Non Traded Firms, Toma de Decisiones Financieras, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Beta, Financial Decision Making, Costo del Capital Propio, Empresas No Transadas en Bolsa, Valuation., Private Risk, Valoración., Riesgo Privado, Neural Firings, Proceso Analítico de Jerarquías, Riesgo de Negocio

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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