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Predicción de la densidad de pulgones en alfalfa a partir de un muestreo presencia-ausencia

Authors: Comas i Angelet, Jordi; Pons i Domènech, Xavier;

Predicción de la densidad de pulgones en alfalfa a partir de un muestreo presencia-ausencia

Abstract

La estimación de la media de la densidad de pulgones en alfalfa basada en conteos de campo se compara con el muestreo presencia-ausencia. Se obtuvieron 21 muestras aleatorias formadas por 75 tallos obtenidos en campos comerciales de alfalfa en Lleida (valle del Ebro) con el objetivo de predecir la estimación de la densidad media de pulgones (û) a partir de la estimación de la proporción de tallos infestados (p). La relación empírica entre û y su varianza muestral utilizando como modelo la ley potencial de Taylor es satisfactoria (r2 = 0,98). La relación empírica entre p y su varianza muestral es prácticamente binomial. Finalmente, la relación empírica entre û y p a partir de la regresión lineal entre ln(û) y ln(-ln p) fue satisfactoria (r2 = 0,94). A partir del muestreo presencia-ausencia es posible estimar densidades medias de pulgones de hasta unos 20 pulgones por tallo.

Standard methods of estimating mean aphid density in alfalfa based on field counts where related to presence-absence sampling. 21 random samples of 75 tillers taken from alfalfa commercial fields in Lleida (Ebro River valley) were obtained in order to compare the estimation of mean aphid density (û) and the estimation of the proportion of infested tillers (p). The empirical relationship between u and its sampling variance using Taylor's potential law was satisfactory (r2 = 0,98). The empirical relationship between and its variance shows that the distribution of p is practically binomial. The empirical relationship between û and p developed using parameters from the linear regression of ln(û) on ln(-ln p) was satisfactory (r2 = 0,94). Mean aphid density estimation up to 20 aphids per tiller is possible using presence-absence sampling.

Keywords

Muestreo presencia-ausencia, Alfalfa, Pulgones, Alfals -- Malalties i plagues, Pugons, Proporción de tallos infestados

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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Average
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