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Crise cambial, instabilidade financeira e reforma do sistema monetário internacional : uma abordagem pós-keynesiana

Authors: Alves Junior, Antonio Jose; Ferrari Filho, Fernando; Paula, Luiz Fernando Rodrigues de;

Crise cambial, instabilidade financeira e reforma do sistema monetário internacional : uma abordagem pós-keynesiana

Abstract

O presente artigo objetiva analisar os modelos convencionais de crise cambial e apresentar uma proposta alternativa de reforma do sistema monetário internacional. Para tanto, realiza-se uma leitura crítica dos modelos convencionais de crise cambial, especialmente no que se refere aos fundamentos da visão convencional: a aplicação da teoria dos mercados eficientes no funcionamento dos mercados financeiros e a necessidade de microfundamentos ad hoc para explicar crises cambiais “irracionais”. A seguir, o artigo desenvolve uma visão pós-keynesiana sobre instabilidade financeira e ataques especulativos em um mundo incerto e de globalização. Por fim, o texto apresenta uma proposta pós-keynesiana para a reforma do sistema monetário-financeiro internacional, com base nas idéias pioneiras de Keynes e nos desenvolvimentos recentes feitos por Paul Davidson.

This paper aims at (i) analyzing conventional currency crises models and (ii) offering an alternative proposal to reform the international monetary and financial system. It presents a critical reading of those conventional models, especially with regard to their fundamentals, i.e. the applicability of the efficient market theory to financial markets and the need of ad hoc microfoundations to explain “irrational” exchange crises. The article then develops a post-Keynesian view of financial instability and speculative attacks in an uncertain and globalized world. Finally, it presents a post-Keynesian proposal to reform the international monetary and financial system on the basis of Keynes’s pioneer ideas and Davidson’s recent developments.

Keywords

Reforma monetária, Currency crises models, Post-Keynesian theory, Teoria keynesiana, Crise econômica, Teoria pós-keynesiana, International monetary system, Câmbio, Sistema Monetário Internacional

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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