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Other literature type . 2024
License: CC BY
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ZENODO
Other literature type . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS AND THE REAL ECONOMY IN SUB -SAHARAN AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A STUDY OF NIGERIA, SOUTH AFRICA AND GHANA

Authors: Seybold Report Journal;

MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS AND THE REAL ECONOMY IN SUB -SAHARAN AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A STUDY OF NIGERIA, SOUTH AFRICA AND GHANA

Abstract

Abstract This research examined the impact of macroeconomic dynamics on the real economy of three sub-Saharan African nations over a forty-year period, spanning from 1981 to 2020. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test revealed that the dataset exhibited a combination of integrated levels and first difference variables, necessitating the utilization of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Primarily, the findings indicate that the effect of macroeconomic indicators on GDP differed across Nigeria, South Africa, and Ghana. In the prolonged term, Nigeria's economy experienced a substantial negative impact from the exchange rate and discount rate, with inflation displaying a negative and inconsequential effect, while the unemployment rate had a positive yet insignificant influence on Nigeria's GDP. South Africa's GDP was significantly and adversely affected by the exchange rate and inflation in the long run, whereas the discount rate and unemployment rate had a negative and insignificant impact on South Africa's GDP over time. Ghana's long-term GDP was notably and negatively influenced by the exchange rate, discount rate, and unemployment rate, while inflation had a negative and inconsequential effect. The error correction mechanism within the ARDL model indicated that GDP in all the examined countries was influenced in varying manners by the chosen macroeconomic indicators. In the short term, the exchange rate, inflation rate, discount rate, and unemployment rate were significant factors affecting Nigeria's GDP; for South Africa, GDP was notably influenced by the exchange rate, discount rate, and unemployment rate in the short term, while Ghana's GDP was significantly impacted by inflation, discount rate, and unemployment rate in the short term. From a policy standpoint, these results are particularly relevant to governmental bodies tasked with the management of the economy. Keywords: Macro-economic indicators, GDP,ARDL, Exchange rate, Discount rate, Inflation rate.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green