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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
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Results on the Supremum of Fractional Brownian Motion

Authors: Vardar, Ceren;

Results on the Supremum of Fractional Brownian Motion

Abstract

We show that the distribution of the square of the supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a, with Hurst parameter-H greater than 1/2, is related to the distribution of its hitting time to level 1, using the self similarity property of fractional Brownian motion. It is also proven that the second moment of supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a is bounded above by a(2H). Similar relations are obtained for the supremum of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter greater than 1/2, and its hitting time to level 1. What is more, we obtain an upper bound on the complementary probability distribution of the supremum of fractional Brownian motion and reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a, using Jensen's and Markov's inequalities. A sharper bound is observed on the distribution of the supremum of fractional Brownian motion by the properties of Gamma distribution. Finally, applications of the given results to financial markets are investigated, and partial results are provided.

TubitakTurkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Arastirma Kurumu (TUBITAK) [110T674]

This study is supported by Tubitak with project number 110T674

Keywords

Matematik, Gamma distribution, Probability (math.PR), Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Reflected fractional Brownian motion, Fractional Brownian motion, Hitting time, Hurst parameter, FOS: Mathematics, İstatistik ve Olasılık, Jensen's inequality, Markov's inequality, Mathematics - Probability, Self similarity property

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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
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