Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ PARAMETER Jurnal Mat...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
PARAMETER Jurnal Matematika Statistika dan Terapannya
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Crossref
addClaim

PERBANDINGAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM MEMPREDIKSI TINGKAT KRIMINALITAS

Authors: Ronald John Djami; Arlene Henny Hiariey; Syaifullah Adam Candio;

PERBANDINGAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM MEMPREDIKSI TINGKAT KRIMINALITAS

Abstract

From 2010 to 2022, crime in Indonesia, especially Maluku Province, tends to increase compared to previous years. Considering these problems, a crime rate prediction system is needed so that the Maluku Provincial Police is able to estimate the quantity and type of crime that is likely to occur in the future. One of the prediction methods that has been used for crime prediction is Exponential Smoothing (ES). The Smoothing method is applied to obtain predictions based on time-series data. In this discussion, the author will compare the forecasting methods of Double Exponential Smoothing, and Triple Exponential Smoothing. The Double Exponential Smoothing method is suitable to be used to provide forecasting results when a data has a certain trend pattern. This Triple Exponential Smoothing method is used when there are still dominant expression elements &; seasonal conduite shown in the data. The MAPE value for the Double Exponential Smoothing method is 20.69552 and for the Triple Exponential Smoothing method is 30.48323, it can be said that the MAPE value of the Double Exponential Smoothing method is smaller than the Triple Exponential Smoothing method. So that the Double Exponential Smoothing method is more accurate than the Triple Exponential Smoothing method to predict the crime rate.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold
Related to Research communities