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Nonstationary Cointegration in the Fractionally Cointegrated VAR Model

Nonstationary cointegration in the fractionally cointegrated VAR Model
Authors: Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard;

Nonstationary Cointegration in the Fractionally Cointegrated VAR Model

Abstract

We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and make two distinct contributions. First, in their consistency proof, Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) imposed moment conditions on the errors that depend on the parameter space, such that when the parameter space is larger, stronger moment conditions are required. We show that these moment conditions can be relaxed, and for consistency we require just eight moments regardless of the parameter space. Second, Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) assumed that the cointegrating vectors are stationary, and we extend the analysis to include the possibility that the cointegrating vectors are non‐stationary. Both contributions require new analysis and results for the asymptotic properties of the likelihood function of the fractional CVAR model, which we provide. Finally, our analysis follows recent research and applies a parameter space large enough that the usual (non‐fractional) CVAR model constitutes an interior point and hence can be tested against the fractional model using a Chi‐squared‐test.

Country
Denmark
Keywords

cointegration, Cointegration, ddc:330, Asymptotic properties of parametric tests, Fractional processes, including fractional Brownian motion, Faculty of Social Sciences, likelihood inference, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/FacultyOfSocialSciences, Cointegration, fractional integration, likelihood inference, vector autoregressive model, vector autoregressive model, fractional integration, C32, Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
bronze
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