
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2401983
Spanish Abstract: En este articulo se utiliza un modelo dinamico estocastico de equilibrio general (DSGE) neoclasico para evaluar el impacto de choques de oferta (productividad) y demanda (comercio externo) sobre el desempeno economico. Ademas, se analizan decisiones de politica economica, en especial, el efecto del gasto publico sobre la economia segun las condiciones en que este se realice. Los ejercicios realizados muestran que con un modelo de economia abierta, una politica expansiva de gasto publico incrementa en el corto plazo el empleo y el producto, pero se incurre en un costo futuro adicional, que parece sugerir un impacto superior al beneficio alcanzado en el corto plazo.English Abstract: We use a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to evaluate the effect of supply (productivity) and demand (foreign trade) shocks on the economy. In addition, this paper analyzes the impact of policies, specifically the effect of public spending under given economic environments. Our results show that, in an open economy model, an expansionary policy of public spending increases employment and production in the short run, but carries an additional future cost, which appears to be greater than the short term benefit.
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