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Corporate Payout Policy and Managerial Overconfidence

Authors: Valentin Burg; Tobias Scheinert; Daniel Streitz;

Corporate Payout Policy and Managerial Overconfidence

Abstract

We analyze the relation between managerial overconfidence and corporate payout policy. We predict that overconfident managers perceive their firm's equity to be undervalued and therefore prefer share repurchases over dividends when distributing cash to shareholders. Using data from S&P 1500 firms between 1992 and 2010, we employ a difference-in-difference methodology around CEO turnover and find that firms reorganize their payouts towards a greater fraction of share repurchases when the incoming CEO is overconfident relative to rational incoming CEOs. Overconfident CEOs also increase the total amount of share repurchases when measured in terms of total assets while cash dividends increase by a lower amount compared to rational managers. Total payouts are unaffected. This is a surprising result because existing evidence suggests that overconfident CEOs prefer to fund investment projects internally - and thus would be expected to retain excess cash.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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