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Projection of Robusta Coffee's Climate Suitability for Sustainable Indonesian Coffee Production

Authors: Yeli Sarvina; Tania June; Surjono Hadi Sutjahjo; Rita Nurmalina; Elza Surmaini;

Projection of Robusta Coffee's Climate Suitability for Sustainable Indonesian Coffee Production

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of climate change on the climate suitability of Robusta coffee in five main Indonesian coffee production centers namely Aceh, North Sumatera, South Sumatera, Bengkulu and Lampung using the Maxent approach. The study used climate data, and climate projections from Worldclim and coffee location data from maps of Indonesia's main agricultural commodities. The results showed that Maxent had good performance in modeling the climatic suitability of Robusta coffee at the provincial level, and the corresponding production areas shifted with different patterns between provinces. The areas with suitable and highly suitable climates for Robusta coffee were projected to decrease in all provinces except for Bengkulu. The findings suggest a future challenge for Robusta coffee sustainability in Indonesia. Aceh, North Sumatera, South Sumatera, and Lampung need to develop adaptation strategies to anticipate the increasingly unsuitable environment. On the other hand, Bengkulu can be considered a new area for coffee plantation. The projection of the suitability of the coffee climate is crucial in determining the future coffee development areas and for the rejuvenation of the existing coffee plantations, highlighting the significance of the study's findings for policymakers, farmers, and other stakeholders.

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    6
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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